Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.111516 0.119640 0.128053 0.137422 0.147568 0.158232 0.170298
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.096639 0.108360 0.121109 0.136034 0.153061 0.171918 0.194438
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.086228 0.099568 0.114564 0.132721 0.154181 0.178819 0.209371
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.081350 0.096250 0.113461 0.134899 0.161002 0.191903 0.231471
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.075327 0.090949 0.109410 0.132958 0.162363 0.198090 0.245115
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.070583 0.086765 0.106282 0.131710 0.164189 0.204588 0.259109
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.065541 0.081849 0.101870 0.128449 0.163089 0.207086 0.267810
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.061914 0.078466 0.099130 0.127050 0.164132 0.212175 0.279916
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059329 0.076247 0.097704 0.127185 0.167059 0.219713 0.295501
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.056144 0.073063 0.094831 0.125197 0.166949 0.223046 0.305329
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.053699 0.070727 0.092937 0.124376 0.168296 0.228310 0.317970
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.053111 0.070833 0.094281 0.127983 0.175857 0.242444 0.343875
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050802 0.068540 0.092320 0.126989 0.177007 0.247739 0.357466
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048554 0.066239 0.090253 0.125746 0.177731 0.252439 0.370421
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045888 0.063234 0.087058 0.122712 0.175652 0.252861 0.376798
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045016 0.062720 0.087344 0.124706 0.181029 0.264524 0.401015
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.043046 0.060545 0.085151 0.122929 0.180634 0.267398 0.411498
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041394 0.058762 0.083446 0.121786 0.181110 0.271567 0.424178
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039317 0.056276 0.080610 0.118800 0.178583 0.270895 0.428862
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037841 0.054624 0.078941 0.117518 0.178632 0.274239 0.440274
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036832 0.053629 0.078213 0.117643 0.180882 0.281155 0.457969
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035366 0.051893 0.076296 0.115821 0.179916 0.282777 0.466658
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.034253 0.050654 0.075091 0.115069 0.180631 0.287152 0.480279